All The Weather Today.
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A few strong storms may develop later today across portions of the northern Plains, middle/upper Mississippi Valley, and across parts of Texas. Gusty winds are the primary threat, although a brief tornado can not be ruled out.
The most active weather during the short-range period will be found today
across much of the Great Plains as a low pressure system continues to
intensify before reaching peak intensity tonight. The intense storm is
responsible for the first wintry event of the season currently in progress
across the northern High Plains where an additional foot of heavy snowfall
is possible near the adjoining borders of the Dakotas, Wyoming, and
Montana along with very strong and gusty winds. Winter Storm Warnings and
Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect for much of the northern High
Plains. Strong winds with gusts up to 60 mph are also expected to
accompany this storm as it intensifies further while tracking towards the
northern Plains. High Wind Warnings are currently in effect for a large
section of the northern Plains.
In addition to the wintry weather, severe thunderstorms are expected to
sweep across much of the central and southern Plains today ahead of a
vigorous cold front. By tonight, moisture being drawn northeastward from
Hurricane Pamela, currently about to make landfall in western Mexico, will
enhance the threat heavy rain across the southern Plains as the tropical
moisture interacts with the cold front. An axis of 2 to 3 inches of rain
with locally higher amounts is forecast to extend from southwestern Texas
towards eastern Oklahoma. The threat of heavy rain may extend into
Thursday night in portions of these areas as the front is forecast to
become nearly stationary.
Throughout the short-range period a large temperature contrast will be
found across the country. High pressure locked in place over the Eastern
Seaboard will allow moderately above normal temperatures to persist across
the eastern US, while the storm system out west will advect cool air south
from higher latitudes, dropping daily highs 20 to 30 degrees below average
into the 30s and 40s. Freeze Watches and Warnings are currently in effect
over portions of the Southwest and central Great Basin. Meanwhile,
moisture associated with the next upper trough is moving into the Pacific
Northwest. This system is expected to spread high-elevation snows across
the Intermountain region and into the central Rockies during the next
couple of days.
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, the southeastern Bahamas, and
adjacent Atlantic waters continue in association with a surface
trough of low pressure. Development, if any, of this disturbance
should be slow to occur during the next couple of days due to
unfavorable upper-level winds. The system is forecast to drift
northward through tonight, then accelerate eastward as a broad area
of low pressure on Thursday. Toward the end of the week, further
development is not anticipated since the disturbance will be
interacting with a frontal system. Regardless, locally heavy
rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the Turks and
Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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Anne Dale
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